Iron Bru › Forums › Blast Furnace › Long Range Forecasts › Reply To: Long Range Forecasts
77 points would (90%) guarantee us a place in the play offs.
We are currently on 61 points.
At max, we need another 16 points.
14 games remaining.
We will be in the play offs.
In the stats above (previous post), 72 points has been enough in 7 of the last 11 completed seasons (65% occurrence)
So, even a total as abysmal as 11 points from the remaining 42 points is more likely than not [2:1] to see us finish in the PO places.
[*Y*] As can be seen, we could in theory not win another game all season but still be in the play offs.
And with that stat [*Y*] – we really do need to further ask… what’s gone / going wrong?